Stanford economist Erik Brynjolfsson and the Stanford Digital Economy Lab have launched a new dashboard using ADP payroll data to track the ongoing impact of AI on entry-level employment.

Key Points

• The Canaries Dashboard analyzes payroll data for 4.6 million workers across more than 730 occupations to monitor real-time labor market shifts.
• Research indicates a persistent decline in employment for workers aged 22 to 25 within occupations most exposed to generative AI technologies.
• Data from ADP, which covers roughly one in six American workers, suggests that entry-level hiring disruptions are a sustained trend rather than a temporary economic fluctuation.
• While aggregate employment growth remains relatively stable, the dashboard highlights a widening gap between highly exposed and least-exposed job sectors since late 2022.

Why it Matters

This research provides critical, data-driven evidence regarding how generative AI is actively reshaping career entry points for younger generations. Understanding these labor market shifts is essential for policymakers and businesses attempting to navigate the long-term economic consequences of widespread automation.