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Tesla Vs. SpaceX: Here’s Which Will Outperform the Other by the End of July

Tesla prepares for a critical July 22 second-quarter earnings report while SpaceX experiences strong institutional momentum following its recent initial public offering and expansion into hyperscale computing.

Key Points

  • Tesla reported Q1 revenue of $22.387 billion with automotive gross margins expanding to 21.1% due to lower material costs.
  • FSD subscriptions for Tesla grew 51% to 1.28 million, though energy storage revenue declined 12% to $2.408 billion.
  • SpaceX reported $18 billion in trailing revenue with growth projections reaching $62 billion by 2026.
  • SpaceX secured major hyperscaler contracts, including a $1.25 billion monthly deal with Anthropic and a $920 million monthly agreement with Google.
  • Tesla is investing heavily in the Cybercab, Semi, and Optimus robot projects at its Gigafactory Texas facility.

Why it Matters

The divergence between Tesla’s earnings-driven volatility and SpaceX’s post-IPO momentum highlights shifting investor priorities between established automotive manufacturing and emerging AI infrastructure. Market participants are closely monitoring Tesla's profit margins while evaluating whether SpaceX’s rapid growth in compute capacity justifies its current valuation.
24/7 Wall St. Published by Alex Sirois
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