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The Flat Curve Society

Government restrictions and safety concerns are creating a plateau in accessible AI, shifting the industry focus from rapid model advancement to organizational AI literacy and practical software engineering.

Key Points

  • The U.S. government has begun restricting access to powerful "Mythos-class" models like Fable due to security risks associated with superintelligence.
  • Future frontier AI models will likely be tightly controlled, similar to nuclear technology, limiting public access to "mediocre" but capable models.
  • Netflix’s internal training experiments demonstrate that employees can reach basic AI literacy through five-hour, team-based workshops.
  • AI literacy is defined by token usage, progressing from non-users to single-agent users and eventually to multi-agent power users.
  • The "discernment horizon" limits AI adoption, as humans struggle to verify the output of models that exceed their own expertise.

Why it Matters

The shift toward a "flat" intelligence curve for the general public stabilizes the market, making SaaS products more viable and reducing the pressure of constant model obsolescence. Organizations that prioritize structured AI training can overcome employee anxiety and effectively integrate supervised agentic workflows into their existing business processes.
Medium Published by Steve Yegge
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